Great article. Absolute must read. Here's a latest from http://contraryinvestor.com/mo.htm
"The conceptual message seems pretty darn clear. When the rate of change in household debt growth decelerates meaningfully, the US has experienced recession. You don’t need us to tell you that this makes all the sense in the world. We’re a consumption based domestic economy that has been heavily debt financed. When the rate of change in debt slows, so does the economy. Simple enough? And what we see in the current period is a very sharp slowdown in household debt growth as of now. In our minds, this demands monitoring as we move forward."
Wednesday, August 8, 2007
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