I've spent the last week or so swimming against the tide by remaining net short into a huge pump. Last time we got one of these big upward surges I panicked into it covering a number of shorts only to have my viewpoint validated shortly thereafter. This time I've stuck to my bearish convictions. I did however put on some longs last Friday which served as a hedge against my losing short positions and helped me to weather the storm.
My uncle point on the DOW is around 12,750 and I just don't see us getting there. At the moment it's still possible the banks are bottoming but I don't subscribe to that theory. More than likely the banks are setting up to lead us lower once again.
This morning I initiated more short sales. Trying to remain conservative but I feel like that "all in on the short side" moment is close. Hopefully the day's trend (down) continues since it feels nice to be back on the winning side.
Thursday, February 14, 2008
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