Thursday, October 4, 2007
Fisher Points to the Elephant in the Room
Richard Fisher, president Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, on inflation statistics: "Many of the arguments for excluding food and energy—in particular, the statistical arguments—are based on the notion that an exceptionally large price increase today will be offset, somewhere down the road, by an exceptionally large price decline. But suppose the increases in food and energy prices we've been seeing over the past few years represent longer-lived trends, rather than transitory blips. The arguments made for excluding food and energy prices would be on shaky ground. To put it more succinctly, we risk throwing out the signal along with the noise." ReadFullTextHere
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